![]() It will begin as rain as moisture from the South starts to invade the area. A small shift east will shift the 6-12 totals into our area, while a shift west will bring the 1-3 totals up. Right now, we still do not have the storm’s path nailed down. Now, here’s my snow map for this storm (explanation will come after): October Snowstorm Snow Map While a winter weather advisory has been issued for Philadelphia, Delaware, Mercer, Camden, and Burlington counties. Winter storm warnings have been issued by the National Weather service for Chester, Bucks, Montgomery County, and Hunterdon. By tomorrow morning, these two disturbances will phase and explode, creating a massive nor’easter. Right now we are dealing with two pieces of energy, one in the Atlantic and one over the Southeast. The largest October snowstorm to hit the area in recorded history is starting to gain steam in the south as the trough begins to phase together. This past storm will undoubtedly serve as a great precedent for any future October snowstorms in our area. If cold air is in place and a nor’easter is riding the coast, snow will fall. It really does not matter that we are in October. How can an amateur like myself have a better forecast than a whole group of forecasters who majored in meteorology?Īll in all, we learned a lesson from this storm. What baffles me is the fact that these people are professionals. 6 Inches! My forecast of 2-5 inches for the NW suburbs, was not nearly as bad as the NWS. They raised snowfall totals 6 inches for the suburbs. By the time the snow started falling Saturday morning, the NWS was on it heels, realizing their fault. ![]() There were no salt trucks ready, and people were ready to have a fun Halloween weekend. As a result, most people thought that this storm would be a minor one for the area. The news stations then based their forecasts off of the NWS and their remarks. At that time, most forecast models were showing 4-10 inches of snow to fall in the area, and it seemed that a Winter Storm Watch would be necessary. On Friday morning, they were calling for a coating to an inch of snow for the NW suburbs of Philadelphia. Anger is probably the word that describes how I feel toward the National Weather Service in Mt. Opinion: Okay, this is my rant portion of the post. Many trees were damaged during this storm, creating a lot of cleanup for households and local townships. New Jersey is still under a State of Emergency as hundreds of thousands of people are still without power. Effects: Peco announced that this storm was the worst October storm in their history. As the nor’easter moved northeastward, it just brought in more cold air.Ģ. Why did the changeover occur earlier? There was more cold air in place than expected during the time of the storm. ![]() By the time the storm moved out, there were over 2 million people without power in the Northeast. I watched in helplessness during the day Saturday as the snow kept piling up, breaking many tree branches in the process. At noon, I had lost my power, which did not return until Sunday night. But, by 11 AM, the rain had changed to all snow north of I-95. According to my forecast, I believed that the changeover would not happen until the late afternoon. I looked out my window to see snowflakes mixing with the rain falling. When I woke up Saturday morning, I knew something was seriously wrong. Everyone assumed that it was impossible to have snow totals over a couple of inches in October. But, we did not believe that the amount of snow the forecast models projected to fall on Saturday would come true. The path of the storm was predicted correctly by the models and meteorologists alike. ![]() What Happened?: A nor’easter formed as expected in the Atlantic Ocean. Millions of people without power, combined with tree damage, will make this one of the most costly storms in October.ġ. I have only one word to describe this storm: Shocking.
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